Downtown Lafayette is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Downtown Lafayette typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Lafayette, ~52% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Lafayette compares
Downtown Lafayette sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Downtown Lafayette runs about 33 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Lafayette. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+57) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Downtown Lafayette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Lafayette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 80% of adults in Downtown Lafayette hold a bachelor's degree, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Downtown Lafayette, Lafayette, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Downtown Lafayette looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Downtown Lafayette is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Downtown Lafayette have completed high school, above 87% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Walnut Creek, Walnut Creek, CA D+52
- Pleasant Valley, Walnut Creek, CA D+49
- Cambridge Park, Concord, CA D+40
- Merriwood, Oakland, CA D+64
- Piedmont Pines, Oakland, CA D+66
- Northgate Area, Walnut Creek, CA D+38
- Montclair, Oakland, CA D+71
- Pacheco-Martinez, Martinez, CA D+32
- Ellis Lake, Concord, CA D+42
- Claremont, Berkeley, CA D+81
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Methodist Town, St. Petersburg, FL D+31
- Washington, Fargo, ND D+8
- Midtown, Reno, NV D+36
- Nasons Corner, Portland, ME D+37
- Noralto, Sacramento, CA D+34
- Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA R+23
- Hewitt Area, Greensboro, NC D+60
- Gano, Chicago, IL D+84
- Park Central, Orlando, FL D+37
- Larkinville, Buffalo, NY D+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.