Downtown Newman is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Downtown Newman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Newman, ~24% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Newman compares
Downtown Newman runs about 23 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Downtown Newman sits closer to the political middle.
Why Downtown Newman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Newman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Downtown Newman votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Downtown Newman runs about 23 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Downtown Newman, Newman, CA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Downtown Newman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Downtown Newman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Downtown Newman have completed high school, below 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Turlock, Turlock, CA Even
- South Modesto Acres, Modesto, CA D+21
- Mayfield, Ceres, CA R+25
- Shackelford, Modesto, CA D+18
- Bystrom, Modesto, CA D+15
- West Modesto, Modesto, CA D+8
- Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA D+18
- Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA R+23
- Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA R+19
- Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA R+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Wexford, Madison, WI D+63
- Boynton Lakes Plaza, Boynton Beach, FL D+6
- Highland Oaks, St. Petersburg, FL D+79
- Paradise Park, Emeryville, CA D+80
- Bedford Hills, Lynchburg, VA R+3
- State and Cypress, Kennett Square, PA D+28
- Franklin Plantation, Worcester, MA D+34
- Wedgewood, Tucker, GA D+34
- Brookwood, Acworth, GA Even
- Marquette, Muskegon, MI D+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.