Shackelford leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 31% of adults in Shackelford typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shackelford, ~18% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shackelford compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Shackelford leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Politically, Shackelford sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Shackelford. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Shackelford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shackelford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 52% of adults in Shackelford have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 39%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Shackelford, Modesto, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shackelford looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Shackelford is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 21 points below the California average of 62%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in Shackelford report food insecurity, above 96% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in Shackelford have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bystrom, Modesto, CA D+15
- South Modesto Acres, Modesto, CA D+21
- Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA D+18
- West Modesto, Modesto, CA D+8
- Mayfield, Ceres, CA R+25
- Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA R+19
- Downtown Turlock, Turlock, CA Even
- Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA R+23
- Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA R+17
- Downtown Newman, Newman, CA R+3
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Five Points, Detroit, MI D+74
- Eastlake Trails, Chula Vista, CA D+15
- The Meadows, Sarasota, FL R+7
- Terrell Heights, San Antonio, TX D+11
- Wells-Goodfellow, St. Louis, MO D+86
- Charlotte Park, Nashville, TN D+9
- South Fairmount, Cincinnati, OH D+54
- Stone Bridge, Fargo, ND Even
- Griers Fork, Charlotte, NC D+28
- Rockwood, Spokane, WA D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.