Elaine leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Elaine typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elaine, ~35% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elaine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elaine leans more Democratic than 37 of 49 neighbors.
Elaine runs about 48 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Elaine is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elaine. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+18) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Elaine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elaine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elaine votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Elaine runs about 48 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Elaine have never been married, above 97% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Elaine, AR does.
Why turnout in Elaine looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elaine is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Elaine rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Elaine report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lambrook, AR Even
- Lake View, AR Even
- Oneida, AR Even
- Farrell, MS R+39
- Watkins Corner, AR R+36
- Mellwood, AR R+9
- Sherard, MS R+33
- Rena Lara, MS R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Hampton, MO R+70
- Mount Pleasant, MS R+32
- Rhodelia, KY R+61
- Delwood, WI R+26
- Tanner, WA D+7
- Center Hill, AR R+72
- Sand Point, AK D+9
- Clearview City, KS R+27
- Saco, MT R+63
- Hamden, NY R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.