Esther Short leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Esther Short typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Esther Short, ~40% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Esther Short compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Esther Short leans more Democratic than 12 of 22 neighbors.
Esther Short runs about 27 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Esther Short. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+53) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+40), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Esther Short leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Esther Short, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in Esther Short have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 41%).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Esther Short, Vancouver, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Esther Short looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 82% of households in Esther Short rent, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Esther Short sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lincoln, Vancouver, WA D+44
- Rose Village, Vancouver, WA D+30
- Hamey Heights, Vancouver, WA D+32
- West Minnehaha, Vancouver, WA D+18
- Bridgeton, Portland, OR D+32
- Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA D+20
- Kenton, Portland, OR D+74
- Portsmouth, Portland, OR D+61
- Woodlawn, Portland, OR D+78
- St. Johns, Portland, OR D+48
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Duval-Eagle Eyes Crime Watch, Gainesville, FL D+80
- Mack South, Cincinnati, OH R+51
- Colonial Heights, Sacramento, CA D+52
- Forest Park, Pine Hills, FL D+69
- Western Hills, San Mateo, CA D+41
- Boulevard Park, Sacramento, CA D+68
- College Park San Antonio, San Antonio, TX D+15
- Palm Beach Lakes, West Palm Beach, FL D+58
- Indian Hills Riverbend, Wichita, KS D+7
- Santiam, Albany, OR Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.