Florence leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Florence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Florence, ~27% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Florence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Florence leans more Republican than 7 of 13 neighbors.
Florence runs about 21 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Florence. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Florence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Florence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Florence are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Florence, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Florence looks the way it does
Turnout in Florence sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stevensville, MT R+47
- Lolo, MT R+17
- Turah, MT R+44
- Orchard Homes, MT D+3
- Missoula, MT D+25
- Victor, MT R+50
- Clinton, MT R+24
- Milltown, MT R+3
- Corvallis, MT R+53
- Pinesdale, MT R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fayetteville, WV R+47
- Perkinston, MS R+79
- Morrison, IL R+31
- Columbus, WI R+12
- Monte Vista, CO R+19
- White Bluff, TN R+60
- Summersville, WV R+57
- Midway, UT R+25
- Eastwood, MI D+31
- Centerville, IA R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.