Hanover County, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hanover County

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hanover County leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.

 

About 92% of adults in Hanover County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hanover County, ~37% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hanover County compares

Among counties within 50 miles, Hanover County leans more Republican than 17 of 28 neighbors.

Hanover County runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hanover County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by city within Hanover County. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 29 points.

Why Hanover County leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hanover County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 73% of households in Hanover County are family households, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Hanover County runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hanover County, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Hanover County looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hanover County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 83% of households in Hanover County own their home, above 91% of counties. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Hanover County have completed high school, above 87% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.