Lake Frederica leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 30% of adults in Lake Frederica typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Frederica, ~18% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~70% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Frederica compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lake Frederica leans more Democratic than 10 of 14 neighbors.
Lake Frederica runs about 32 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Lake Frederica is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Lake Frederica leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Frederica, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake Frederica votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Lake Frederica runs about 32 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Lake Frederica have never been married, above 78% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lake Frederica, Orlando, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lake Frederica looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake Frederica is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 90% of households in Lake Frederica rent, compared to around 50% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ventura, Orlando, FL D+11
- South Semoran, Orlando, FL D+13
- Englewood Park, Orlando, FL D+17
- Mariners Village, Orlando, FL D+5
- Conway, Orlando, FL R+4
- Hibiscus, Azalea Park, FL D+10
- Airport North, Orlando, FL D+21
- Woodlands-Orlando, Orlando, FL D+23
- Wadeview Park, Orlando, FL D+15
- Vista East, Orlando, FL D+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Braddock Road Metro, Alexandria, VA D+65
- Southside Columbus, Columbus, OH D+59
- South Harrison, Tucson, AZ Even
- University District, Minneapolis, MN D+54
- Westlake, Seattle, WA D+64
- Sayre Park, Bethlehem, PA D+36
- Palm City, San Diego, CA D+20
- Bessemer, Pueblo, CO D+17
- Fulton, Minneapolis, MN D+68
- Osgood, Fargo, ND R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.