Palm City leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Palm City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palm City, ~34% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palm City compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Palm City leans more Democratic than 6 of 9 neighbors.
Politically, Palm City sits close to the rest of California.
Why Palm City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Palm City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Palm City, San Diego, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Palm City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Palm City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in Palm City have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Palm City have completed high school, below 90% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Nestor, San Diego, CA D+19
- Egger Highlands, San Diego, CA D+16
- Otay Mesa West, San Diego, CA D+20
- Boal, Chula Vista, CA D+23
- Mission Bay, San Diego, CA D+21
- Downtown Chula Vista, Chula Vista, CA D+26
- Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA D+18
- Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Terra Nova, Chula Vista, CA D+14
- Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA D+16
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sayre Park, Bethlehem, PA D+36
- University District, Minneapolis, MN D+54
- South Harrison, Tucson, AZ Even
- Southside Columbus, Columbus, OH D+59
- Lake Frederica, Orlando, FL D+19
- Fulton, Minneapolis, MN D+68
- Braddock Road Metro, Alexandria, VA D+65
- Country Squire Estates, West Valley City, UT D+6
- Westlake, Seattle, WA D+64
- Townsite, Henderson, NV Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.