Magoffin County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Magoffin County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magoffin County, ~11% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magoffin County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Magoffin County leans more Republican than 17 of 22 neighbors.
Magoffin County runs about 36 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Magoffin County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magoffin County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Magoffin County, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points below the Kentucky average of 19%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Magoffin County, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Magoffin County looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Magoffin County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Johnson County, KY R+66
- Morgan County, KY R+64
- Floyd County, KY R+61
- Breathitt County, KY R+62
- Wolfe County, KY R+57
- Elliott County, KY R+57
- Knott County, KY R+67
- Martin County, KY R+74
- Lawrence County, KY R+67
- Menifee County, KY R+64
Counties with Similar Populations
- Barton County, MO R+65
- Iron County, MI R+24
- Teton County, ID R+21
- Ward County, TX R+56
- Jackson County, TN R+65
- Cherokee County, IA R+42
- Trousdale County, TN R+59
- Ramsey County, ND R+30
- Conecuh County, AL R+7
- Red River County, TX R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.