Lemon Grove leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Lemon Grove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lemon Grove, ~34% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lemon Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lemon Grove leans more Democratic than 22 of 29 neighbors.
Politically, Lemon Grove sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lemon Grove. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lemon Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lemon Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Lemon Grove live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Lemon Grove have never been married, above 91% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lemon Grove, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lemon Grove looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in Lemon Grove rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Lemon Grove sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Lemon Grove report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Presa, CA D+18
- La Mesa, CA D+24
- Spring Valley, CA D+11
- Casa de Oro-Mount Helix, CA D+11
- Bonita, CA D+8
- National City, CA D+24
- Rancho San Diego, CA R+18
- San Diego, CA D+17
- El Cajon, CA R+11
- Chula Vista, CA D+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grandview, MO D+37
- Chelmsford, MA D+17
- Argyle, TX R+38
- Valencia, CA D+9
- Fresno, TX D+55
- Franklin, NC R+45
- Loma Linda, CA D+12
- Candler, NC R+13
- Angleton, TX R+31
- Bayonet Point, FL R+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.