Miramar leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Miramar typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Miramar, ~13% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Miramar compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Miramar is the most Republican-leaning.
Miramar runs about 40 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Miramar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Miramar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Miramar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 97% of households in Miramar are family households, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Miramar sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 33%, below 93% of neighborhoods). Miramar runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Miramar, San Diego, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Miramar looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in Miramar rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 98% of adults in Miramar have completed high school, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mira Mesa, San Diego, CA D+21
- Sorrento Valley, San Diego, CA D+26
- Scripps Ranch, San Diego, CA D+20
- Kearny Mesa, San Diego, CA D+25
- Tierrasanta, San Diego, CA D+20
- Sabre Springs, San Diego, CA D+20
- University City, San Diego, CA D+44
- North Clairemont, San Diego, CA D+25
- Clairemont Mesa, San Diego, CA D+24
- Rancho Penasquitos, San Diego, CA D+21
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Mission-Foothill, Hayward, CA D+43
- Cheesman Park, Denver, CO D+72
- Behrman, New Orleans, LA D+79
- Marina, San Diego, CA D+45
- Charles, Providence, RI D+33
- Heritage Hills, Austin, TX D+47
- Lakemont, Bellevue, WA D+41
- East Grove, Escondido, CA D+5
- Kingfield, Minneapolis, MN D+82
- Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.