Whitman-Mocine leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Whitman-Mocine typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Whitman-Mocine, ~37% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Whitman-Mocine compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Whitman-Mocine leans more Democratic than 2 of 16 neighbors.
Whitman-Mocine runs about 13 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Whitman-Mocine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Whitman-Mocine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Whitman-Mocine live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Whitman-Mocine, Hayward, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Whitman-Mocine looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in Whitman-Mocine have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Harder-Tennyson, Hayward, CA D+37
- Jackson Triangle, Hayward, CA D+38
- Mission-Foothill, Hayward, CA D+43
- Mission-Garin, Hayward, CA D+43
- Tennyson-Alquire, Hayward, CA D+35
- Southgate, Hayward, CA D+39
- Hayward Highland, Hayward, CA D+41
- Santa Clara Street, Hayward, CA D+39
- Burbank-Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
- Glen Eden, Hayward, CA D+33
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Highland, Billings, MT D+8
- Keystone, Omaha, NE D+12
- The Eye, Detroit, MI D+70
- Orangetree, Naples, FL R+28
- Orchard Meadows, Mundelein, IL D+15
- Floral Park, Santa Ana, CA D+26
- Penns Beach, Pennsville, NJ R+29
- Sunset Park, Tampa, FL R+18
- Crafton Heights, Pittsburgh, PA D+32
- Northbrook, Jackson, MS D+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.