Mississippi Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mississippi

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mississippi leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 65% of adults in Mississippi typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mississippi, ~29% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mississippi compares

Among states within 500 miles, Mississippi leans more Republican than 2 of 8 neighbors.

Politics vary noticeably by county within Mississippi. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 58 points.

Why Mississippi leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per state to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mississippi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican, and Mississippi sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mississippi sits in the bottom quarter (about 25%, below 96% of states).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mississippi sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Mississippi looks the way it does

Turnout in Mississippi sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.