Mokapu, Kaneohe Station, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mokapu

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mokapu is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 31% of adults in Mokapu typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mokapu, ~16% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mokapu compares

Mokapu runs about 22 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Mokapu. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 12 points.

Why Mokapu leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mokapu. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mokapu, Kaneohe Station, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Mokapu looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 99% of households in Mokapu rent, about 74 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Mokapu have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.