South Main Street Historic District, Middletown, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in South Main Street Historic District

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

South Main Street Historic District leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.

 

About 41% of adults in South Main Street Historic District typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Main Street Historic District, ~22% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How South Main Street Historic District compares

South Main Street Historic District runs about 18 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while South Main Street Historic District is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within South Main Street Historic District. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 55 points.

Why South Main Street Historic District leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Main Street Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

South Main Street Historic District votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while South Main Street Historic District runs about 18 points more Democratic.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Main Street Historic District, Middletown, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in South Main Street Historic District looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 70% of households in South Main Street Historic District rent, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and South Main Street Historic District sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in South Main Street Historic District report food insecurity, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.