South Seminole Heights leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 60% of adults in South Seminole Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Seminole Heights, ~40% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Seminole Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Seminole Heights leans more Democratic than 16 of 27 neighbors.
South Seminole Heights runs about 45 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while South Seminole Heights is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Seminole Heights. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 15 points.
Why South Seminole Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Seminole Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Seminole Heights votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while South Seminole Heights runs about 45 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in South Seminole Heights looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. South Seminole Heights sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Adams Hill, Glendale, CA D+25
- Lakewood, Jacksonville, FL R+12
- North Central Heritage, San Antonio, TX Even
- Villages at Rancho El Dorado, Silver Bell, AZ R+7
- Wildwood Park, San Bernardino, CA D+14
- Pleasant Run Farm, Cincinnati, OH D+33
- West Market Square Historic District, Bangor, ME D+30
- Farm Hills, Redwood City, CA D+59
- Boyle Park, Little Rock, AR D+58
- Geist, Indianapolis, IN Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.