Riverbend is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Riverbend typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Riverbend, ~28% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Riverbend compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Riverbend leans more Democratic than 8 of 27 neighbors.
Riverbend runs about 16 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Riverbend is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Riverbend leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Riverbend, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Riverbend votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Riverbend runs about 16 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Riverbend, Tampa, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Riverbend looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Riverbend is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Riverbend sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+31
- Wellswood, Tampa, FL D+2
- Lowry Park Central, Tampa, FL D+3
- Plaza Terrace, Tampa, FL D+7
- South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+32
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- Riverside Heights, Tampa, FL D+21
- Tampa Heights, Tampa, FL D+53
- Sulphur Springs, Tampa, FL D+43
- Old West Tampa, Tampa, FL D+39
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Allendale, Oakland, CA D+63
- Downtown Thousand Oaks, Thousand Oaks, CA D+22
- Downtown Omaha, Omaha, NE D+49
- Zach White, El Paso, TX Even
- West Southwest 3, Topeka, KS D+12
- South Salt Creek, Lincoln, NE D+29
- Bayside, Queens, NY D+9
- Old Town-Chinatown, Portland, OR D+54
- Rincon Heights, Tucson, AZ D+57
- Sylvan Park, Nashville, TN D+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.