Ybor City leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Ybor City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ybor City, ~35% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ybor City compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ybor City leans more Democratic than 22 of 26 neighbors.
Ybor City runs about 61 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ybor City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ybor City. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+53) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+39), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Ybor City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ybor City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ybor City votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ybor City runs about 61 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ybor City, Tampa, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ybor City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ybor City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 17 points below the Florida average of 56%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Ybor City sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Tampa Heights, Tampa, FL D+53
- East Tampa, Tampa, FL D+66
- South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+32
- Riverside Heights, Tampa, FL D+21
- Downtown Tampa, Tampa, FL D+17
- Channelside, Tampa, FL Even
- Old West Tampa, Tampa, FL D+39
- Wellswood, Tampa, FL D+2
- Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL D+69
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Pointe, San Bernardino, CA D+13
- Sequoyah, Oakland, CA D+74
- Hubbell, Pasadena, TX R+5
- Raymond Park, Indianapolis, IN D+32
- Oakland-Winchell, Kalamazoo, MI D+46
- Howland Hook, Staten Island, NY D+58
- Downtown Thousand Oaks, Thousand Oaks, CA D+22
- Allendale, Oakland, CA D+63
- Riverbend, Tampa, FL D+3
- Downtown Kent, Kent, OH D+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.