Tara Hills leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Tara Hills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tara Hills, ~39% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tara Hills compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Tara Hills is the least Democratic-leaning.
Tara Hills runs about 15 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Tara Hills leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tara Hills. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Tara Hills, San Pablo, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Tara Hills looks the way it does
Turnout in Tara Hills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Fairmede-Hilltop, San Pablo, CA D+56
- North and East, Richmond, CA D+55
- East Richmond, Richmond, CA D+66
- Belding Woods, Richmond, CA D+49
- Iron Triangle, Richmond, CA D+54
- Cortez-Stege, Richmond, CA D+66
- Coronado, Richmond, CA D+64
- Atchison Woods, Richmond, CA D+55
- Richmond Annex, Richmond, CA D+64
- Kensington-San Francisco, Berkeley, CA D+84
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- North River Shores, Stuart, FL R+25
- Miramonte, Tucson, AZ D+43
- Lincoln, San Rafael, CA D+51
- Central Business District-Rochester, Rochester, NY D+64
- The Palisades, Washington, DC D+68
- Enderly Park, Charlotte, NC D+80
- Northgate Area, Walnut Creek, CA D+38
- Downtown Geneva, Geneva, OH R+23
- Old Redford, Detroit, MI D+83
- 1st Ward, Portsmouth, OH R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.