Miramonte leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Miramonte typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Miramonte, ~33% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Miramonte compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Miramonte leans more Democratic than 14 of 23 neighbors.
Miramonte runs about 49 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Miramonte is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Miramonte. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+30), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Miramonte leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Miramonte, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Miramonte live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Miramonte have never been married, above 84% of neighborhoods. Miramonte runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Miramonte, Tucson, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Miramonte looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in Miramonte rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Miramonte sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- The Palisades, Washington, DC D+68
- Northgate Area, Walnut Creek, CA D+38
- Tara Hills, San Pablo, CA D+35
- North River Shores, Stuart, FL R+25
- Lincoln, San Rafael, CA D+51
- Central Business District-Rochester, Rochester, NY D+64
- Boston Edison, Detroit, MI D+84
- New Scotland-Woodlawn, Albany, NY D+60
- Charleston, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Enderly Park, Charlotte, NC D+80
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.