Flowing Wells leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Flowing Wells typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flowing Wells, ~27% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flowing Wells compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flowing Wells leans more Democratic than 14 of 20 neighbors.
Flowing Wells runs about 16 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Flowing Wells is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Flowing Wells. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Flowing Wells leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flowing Wells, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in Flowing Wells live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Flowing Wells have never been married, above 93% of cities. Flowing Wells runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Flowing Wells, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Flowing Wells looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Flowing Wells is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Flowing Wells rent, above 86% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Flowing Wells report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Casas Adobes, AZ D+9
- South Tucson, AZ D+44
- Catalina Foothills, AZ D+20
- Tucson, AZ D+16
- Oro Valley, AZ D+3
- Tucson Estates, AZ Even
- Drexel Heights, AZ D+23
- Marana, AZ R+9
- Valencia West, AZ D+20
- Picture Rocks, AZ R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Homewood, AL D+14
- Plum, PA R+9
- Lake St. Louis, MO R+16
- Claremore, OK R+40
- Stoughton, MA D+23
- Olney, MD D+40
- El Macero, CA D+53
- Mount Pleasant, WI D+8
- Westmont, IL D+16
- Chatsworth, GA R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.