Vernon Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Vernon Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vernon Hill, ~28% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vernon Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Vernon Hill leans more Democratic than 10 of 24 neighbors.
Vernon Hill runs about 5 points more Democratic than Massachusetts as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Vernon Hill. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+21), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Vernon Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vernon Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Vernon Hill live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Vernon Hill, Worcester, MA does.
Why turnout in Vernon Hill looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 82% of households in Vernon Hill rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Vernon Hill report food insecurity, above 81% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Vernon Hill sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Green Island, Worcester, MA D+33
- Union Hill, Worcester, MA D+29
- North Quinsigamond Village, Worcester, MA D+37
- South Worcester, Worcester, MA D+26
- University Park, Worcester, MA D+36
- Franklin Plantation, Worcester, MA D+34
- Central Business District, Worcester, MA D+42
- Broadmeadow Brook, Worcester, MA D+25
- Grafton Hill, Worcester, MA D+19
- Main Middle, Worcester, MA D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Middlebury, Akron, OH D+42
- Cedar Knolls, Bronxville, NY D+26
- Belle Haven, Belle View, VA D+45
- McKinley Avenue Corridor, Columbus, OH D+34
- Hedgeville, Wilmington, DE D+55
- Fairmont Park, Norfolk, VA D+63
- Crestwood, Tuckahoe, NY D+5
- Terra del Sol, Tucson, AZ D+11
- Lace, Darien, IL D+6
- Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY D+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.