23308 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 23308 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23308, ~25% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23308 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23308 leans more Republican than 9 of 22 neighbors.
23308 runs about 20 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23308 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23308. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 57 points.
Why 23308 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23308, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
23308 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23308 runs about 20 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 23308, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 23308 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23308 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 23308 report food insecurity, above 86% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in 23308 have completed high school, below 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.