Julia Keen leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Julia Keen typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Julia Keen, ~38% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Julia Keen compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Julia Keen leans more Democratic than 6 of 24 neighbors.
Julia Keen runs about 38 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Julia Keen is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Julia Keen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Julia Keen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Julia Keen live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Julia Keen runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Julia Keen, Tucson, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Julia Keen looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Julia Keen is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Julia Keen have completed high school, below 80% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Las Vistas, Tucson, AZ D+44
- Myers, Tucson, AZ D+24
- South Park, Tucson, AZ D+38
- Sam Hughes, Tucson, AZ D+59
- Miramonte, Tucson, AZ D+43
- Rincon Heights, Tucson, AZ D+57
- Palo Verde, Tucson, AZ D+41
- Blenman-Elm, Tucson, AZ D+52
- Bravo Park Lane, Tucson, AZ D+36
- Armory Park, Tucson, AZ D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lincoln Park, Milwaukee, WI D+83
- South East Community, Grand Rapids, MI D+66
- Parkland, Louisville, KY D+90
- Northeast, Kansas City, KS D+67
- Taylor, Cedar Rapids, IA D+24
- Meadowbrook Heights, Kansas City, MO R+3
- Westhaven, Franklin, TN R+31
- Northport, Fargo, ND Even
- East End, Charleston, WV D+44
- Cypress-Riverside, Highland, CA D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.