Lower Bal leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Lower Bal typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Bal, ~32% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lower Bal compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lower Bal leans more Democratic than 7 of 33 neighbors.
Lower Bal runs about 18 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Lower Bal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Bal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Lower Bal live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lower Bal, San Leandro, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lower Bal looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 11% of homes in Lower Bal have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Floresta Gardens-Bradrick, San Leandro, CA D+41
- Upper Bal, San Leandro, CA D+44
- Assumption Parish, San Leandro, CA D+45
- Washington Manor-Bonaire, San Leandro, CA D+28
- Old San Leandro, San Leandro, CA D+50
- Estudillo Estates-Glen, San Leandro, CA D+54
- Heron Bay, San Leandro, CA D+32
- Davis Tract, San Leandro, CA D+36
- Mullford Gardens, San Leandro, CA D+32
- North Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Brainerd, Chicago, IL D+84
- Cross Fletcher, University, FL D+35
- Far Westside, Syracuse, NY D+27
- Felida-Starcrest, Vancouver, WA D+16
- Solivita, Poinciana, FL Even
- Napili-Honokowai, Lahaina, HI D+18
- East Springfield, Springfield, MA D+19
- Pembroke, Detroit, MI D+89
- Devington, Indianapolis, IN D+78
- Southside, Augusta, GA D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.