Cross Fletcher leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 25% of adults in Cross Fletcher typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cross Fletcher, ~17% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~75% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cross Fletcher compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Cross Fletcher leans more Democratic than 6 of 11 neighbors.
Cross Fletcher runs about 48 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Cross Fletcher is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Cross Fletcher. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Cross Fletcher leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cross Fletcher, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cross Fletcher votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Cross Fletcher runs about 48 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Cross Fletcher have never been married, above 88% of neighborhoods.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cross Fletcher, University, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cross Fletcher looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cross Fletcher is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 22 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 86% of households in Cross Fletcher rent, compared to around 52% in nearby neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 62% of adults in Cross Fletcher have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- University Square, Tampa, FL D+36
- North Tampa, Tampa, FL D+38
- Temple Park, Tampa, FL D+27
- Forest Hills, Tampa, FL R+8
- Sulphur Springs, Tampa, FL D+43
- Tampa Palms, Tampa, FL D+16
- Temple Crest, Tampa, FL D+48
- Lowry Park Central, Tampa, FL D+3
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Far Westside, Syracuse, NY D+27
- Felida-Starcrest, Vancouver, WA D+16
- Brainerd, Chicago, IL D+84
- Napili-Honokowai, Lahaina, HI D+18
- Solivita, Poinciana, FL Even
- East Springfield, Springfield, MA D+19
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Lower Bal, San Leandro, CA D+39
- Londontowne, Edgewater, MD Even
- Loretto, Jacksonville, FL R+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.