Morgan County is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Morgan County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morgan County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morgan County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Morgan County leans more Republican than 15 of 24 neighbors.
Morgan County runs about 33 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Morgan County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morgan County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 7% of residents in Morgan County live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Kentucky average of 18%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 72% of households in Morgan County are family households, above 88% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Morgan County, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Morgan County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Morgan County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 6 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Morgan County have completed high school, below 93% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Elliott County, KY R+57
- Magoffin County, KY R+67
- Wolfe County, KY R+57
- Menifee County, KY R+64
- Rowan County, KY R+34
- Johnson County, KY R+66
- Breathitt County, KY R+62
- Bath County, KY R+61
- Carter County, KY R+61
- Lee County, KY R+67
Counties with Similar Populations
- Breathitt County, KY R+62
- Callahan County, TX R+69
- Chowan County, NC R+12
- Converse County, WY R+66
- Winn Parish, LA R+44
- Washington County, IL R+53
- Glacier County, MT D+32
- Union County, KY R+56
- Stewart County, TN R+67
- Morgan County, OH R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.