Marble Canyon leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Marble Canyon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marble Canyon, ~33% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marble Canyon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marble Canyon is the most Democratic-leaning.
Marble Canyon runs about 17 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Marble Canyon is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marble Canyon. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+45) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 78 points.
Why Marble Canyon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marble Canyon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in Marble Canyon have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 23%). Marble Canyon runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Marble Canyon, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Marble Canyon looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marble Canyon is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 5 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Marble Canyon report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Page, AZ D+3
- Lechee, AZ D+11
- Wahweap, AZ R+33
- Big Water, UT R+66
- Kaibito, AZ D+34
- Moenave, AZ D+49
- Tsegi, AZ D+29
- Tonalea, UT D+56
- Tonalea, AZ D+41
- North Rim, AZ D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clare, KY R+67
- Zion Station, KY R+64
- Hannover, ND R+67
- Drakes Mills, PA R+42
- Linwood, NE R+55
- Loretto, NE R+69
- Colling, MI R+45
- Dryville, PA R+31
- Hackney, OH R+62
- Guldens, PA R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.