Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Northern Arizona University

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Northern Arizona University is a Democratic stronghold. About 82% of voters here vote Democratic and 18% Republican.

 

About 32% of adults in Northern Arizona University typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northern Arizona University, ~26% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Northern Arizona University compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northern Arizona University is the most Democratic-leaning.

Northern Arizona University runs about 69 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Northern Arizona University is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Northern Arizona University. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+39), a spread of about 28 points.

Why Northern Arizona University leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northern Arizona University, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Northern Arizona University votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Northern Arizona University runs about 69 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 97% of adults in Northern Arizona University have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Northern Arizona University looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 98% of households in Northern Arizona University rent, about 73 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Northern Arizona University sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 36% of adults in Northern Arizona University report food insecurity, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.