South Flagstaff is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 47% of adults in South Flagstaff typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Flagstaff, ~36% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Flagstaff compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Flagstaff leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.
South Flagstaff runs about 57 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while South Flagstaff is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Flagstaff. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+47), a spread of about 19 points.
Why South Flagstaff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Flagstaff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Flagstaff votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while South Flagstaff runs about 57 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 75% of adults in South Flagstaff have never been married, above 98% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Flagstaff, Flagstaff, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in South Flagstaff looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 86% of households in South Flagstaff rent, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in South Flagstaff have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ D+63
- Woodlands Village, Flagstaff, AZ D+38
- Sunnyside-Flagstaff, Flagstaff, AZ D+35
- Granville, Prescott Valley, AZ R+18
- New Village, New River, AZ R+30
- Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ R+22
- Desert Hills, Cave Creek, AZ R+23
- North Gateway, Phoenix, AZ R+14
- Desert View, Phoenix, AZ R+12
- Vistancia, Peoria, AZ R+21
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Armory Park, Tucson, AZ D+59
- Amtrak, San Bernardino, CA D+19
- Anatolia Village, Rancho Cordova, CA D+10
- Granite Hills, El Cajon, CA R+33
- Camelot, San Antonio, TX D+20
- Avalon, Albuquerque, NM D+17
- Village 12, Sacramento, CA D+31
- Southwest Quadrant, Alexandria, VA D+62
- East Augusta, Augusta, GA D+80
- Brookview, Waco, TX D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.