Sundance leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Sundance typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sundance, ~32% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sundance compares
Politically, Sundance sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Sundance. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Sundance leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sundance, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 85% of households in Sundance are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Sundance sits in the bottom quarter (about 19%, below 78% of neighborhoods).
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sundance, Buckeye, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sundance looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 87% of households in Sundance own their home, about 14 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Valencia, Buckeye, AZ R+14
- Estrella-Goodyear, Goodyear, AZ R+27
- Sierra Montana, Surprise, AZ R+20
- Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ R+23
- Estrella-Tolleson, Tolleson, AZ D+24
- Agua Fria, El Mirage, AZ D+12
- Alta Loma, Peoria, AZ R+3
- Maryvale, Phoenix, AZ D+29
- Ironwood Terrace, Glendale, AZ D+27
- Estrella, Phoenix, AZ D+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lankershim, Highland, CA D+22
- Cobble Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- N Albuquerque Acres, Albuquerque, NM Even
- Ardenwood, Fremont, CA D+36
- Thompson Community, San Antonio, TX D+33
- Crossroads, Highland, CA R+5
- Northeast Hazel Dell, Hazel Dell, WA D+18
- Hill East, Washington, DC D+80
- North River, Toledo, OH D+44
- Lincoln Park, Washington, DC D+84
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.