Ortega Farms leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Ortega Farms typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ortega Farms, ~35% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ortega Farms compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ortega Farms leans more Democratic than 8 of 21 neighbors.
Ortega Farms runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ortega Farms is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ortega Farms. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Ortega Farms leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ortega Farms, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ortega Farms votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ortega Farms runs about 24 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ortega Farms, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Ortega Farms looks the way it does
Turnout in Ortega Farms sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL D+20
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Lakeshore, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+32
- Hyde Park, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Hillcrest, Jacksonville, FL D+24
- Duclay, Jacksonville, FL D+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Van Wyck Brooks Historic District, Plainfield, NJ D+58
- East Columbus, Columbus, IN R+21
- Highland Park, Grand Rapids, MI D+38
- Park Place, Mobile, AL D+5
- Indian Village, Lincoln, NE D+32
- Center Street Historic District, Ashland, OH R+23
- Nob Hill, Albuquerque, NM D+72
- Holiday Park, Palm Bay, FL R+9
- Carthage, Cincinnati, OH D+34
- Hunterwood, Houston, TX D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.