Poinciana-Village 3 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Poinciana-Village 3 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Poinciana-Village 3, ~33% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Poinciana-Village 3 compares
Poinciana-Village 3 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Poinciana-Village 3 runs about 27 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Poinciana-Village 3 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Poinciana-Village 3. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Poinciana-Village 3 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Poinciana-Village 3, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Poinciana-Village 3 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Poinciana-Village 3 runs about 27 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Poinciana-Village 3, Poinciana, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Poinciana-Village 3 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Poinciana-Village 3 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 25%, about 10 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Solivita, Poinciana, FL Even
- Lake Marion Village, Poinciana, FL D+25
- Bellalago, Kissimmee, FL D+9
- Esprit, St. Cloud, FL R+14
- Waterway Village, Kissimmee, FL D+6
- East Village, Celebration, FL R+15
- Eagle Bay, Kissimmee, FL D+11
- Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL D+10
- Wyndham Lakes Estates, Meadow Woods, FL D+12
- Beacon Park, Meadow Woods, FL D+10
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Edmondson Heights, Woodlawn, MD D+81
- Lockmar Estates, Palm Bay, FL R+15
- Heron Bay, San Leandro, CA D+32
- 4th Ward, Portsmouth, OH R+25
- Glenroy Village, Indianapolis, IN R+15
- Hembstead, Charlotte, NC D+8
- West Leominster, Leominster, MA D+12
- Factoria, Bellevue, WA D+40
- Carver, Mobile, AL D+87
- Donaldson Run, Arlington, VA D+57
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.