Northeast is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Northeast typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northeast, ~43% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northeast compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northeast leans more Democratic than 19 of 20 neighbors.
Northeast runs about 81 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Northeast is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Northeast leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northeast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Northeast votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Northeast runs about 81 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 58% of adults in Northeast have never been married, above 92% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Northeast, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Northeast looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Northeast is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 15 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Northeast have completed high school, below 81% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL D+69
- Temple Crest, Tampa, FL D+48
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- East Tampa, Tampa, FL D+66
- Sulphur Springs, Tampa, FL D+43
- Temple Park, Tampa, FL D+27
- Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+31
- University Square, Tampa, FL D+36
- Ybor City, Tampa, FL D+48
- South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+32
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Tower Triangle, Aurora, CO D+9
- East End, Portland, ME D+76
- Palo Verde, Tucson, AZ D+41
- Strawberry Hill, Kansas City, KS D+43
- Millsmont, Oakland, CA D+84
- South Rose Hill, Kirkland, WA D+44
- Ballentine Place, Norfolk, VA D+68
- Estudillo Estates-Glen, San Leandro, CA D+54
- Wright View, Dayton, OH Even
- Forest Ridge-Quail Hollow, Dayton, OH R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.