Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Live Oaks Square

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Live Oaks Square is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Live Oaks Square typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Live Oaks Square, ~48% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Live Oaks Square compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Live Oaks Square is the most Democratic-leaning.

Live Oaks Square runs about 82 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Live Oaks Square is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Live Oaks Square. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+74) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+63), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Live Oaks Square leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Live Oaks Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Live Oaks Square votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Live Oaks Square runs about 82 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Live Oaks Square have never been married, above 78% of neighborhoods.

Park access and Democratic lean

Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Live Oaks Square looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Live Oaks Square is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 17 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Live Oaks Square have completed high school, below 81% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Live Oaks Square sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.