Temple Crest leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Temple Crest typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Temple Crest, ~34% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Temple Crest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Temple Crest leans more Democratic than 11 of 16 neighbors.
Temple Crest runs about 61 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Temple Crest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Temple Crest. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+34), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Temple Crest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Temple Crest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Temple Crest votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Temple Crest runs about 61 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in Temple Crest have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Temple Crest, Tampa, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Temple Crest looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Temple Crest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 15 points below the Florida average of 56%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Temple Crest sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northeast, Tampa, FL D+68
- Temple Park, Tampa, FL D+27
- Sulphur Springs, Tampa, FL D+43
- University Square, Tampa, FL D+36
- Live Oaks Square, Tampa, FL D+69
- Old Seminol Heights, Tampa, FL D+36
- North Tampa, Tampa, FL D+38
- Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+31
- East Tampa, Tampa, FL D+66
- Cross Fletcher, University, FL D+35
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- oakwood, Dayton, OH D+33
- Fairway Park, Hayward, CA D+36
- East San Gabriel, San Gabriel, CA D+20
- Guajome, Oceanside, CA Even
- Franklin To The Fort, Missoula, MT D+29
- Downtown High Point, High Point, NC D+51
- Sunnyside, Denver, CO D+66
- North Broadway, Escondido, CA Even
- St. Dennis, Louisville, KY D+39
- Wynken Blynken anchor Nod, Hialeah, FL R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.