Orient Park leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Orient Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orient Park, ~17% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orient Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Orient Park leans more Democratic than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Orient Park runs about 22 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Orient Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Orient Park. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Orient Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orient Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orient Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Orient Park runs about 22 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Orient Park have never been married, above 75% of neighborhoods.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Orient Park, Tampa, FL does.
Why turnout in Orient Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Orient Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 20 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Orient Park have completed high school, below 87% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Westhaven Trails, Madison, WI D+65
- International, San Bernardino, CA D+28
- Harrison East-South, Tucson, AZ D+9
- North Town Fork Creek, Kansas City, MO D+84
- Lasalle College Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Wahneta, Winter Haven, FL R+16
- Centerville, Camden, NJ D+72
- East Village, Celebration, FL R+15
- Lovisa Farms, Pasco, WA R+23
- Forest Park Southeast, St. Louis, MO D+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.